基于行车图像线形透视轮廓的公路安全性分析
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1.长沙理工大学;2.华南理工大学

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国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(52302428)


Highway Safety Analysis Based on Perspective Profile in Road Alignment of Driving Images
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Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China Youth Fund Project(52302428)

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    摘要:

    [目的]驾驶人真实观察到的公路线形变化与行车安全密切相关,本文旨在通过寻找可靠的线形透视特征描述指标用于研究驾驶人视觉中公路线形变化与行车安全的关联性,并通过建立公路事故频次预测模型,量化线形透视特征变化对行车安全的影响。[方法]本研究利用形状描述工具处理行车图像,获取线形透视轮廓的形状中心距离峰度和偏度(shape center distance kurtosis and skewness)等作为线形透视轮廓指标,实现了驾驶视角下线形变化的参数化表达;采用Possion回归模型建立基于线形透视轮廓指标的公路事故频次预测模型,直观地揭示了因道路转弯变化造成的线形透视轮廓变化与事故的关联机理。[结果]在二广高速公路(G55)粤境三水至怀集160公里路段进行实证分析,研究表明:基于中心距离指标建立的事故预测模型绝对平均偏差(1.293)与累计残差(432.968)均低于基于传统二维、三维线形几何指标建立的事故模型模型绝对平均偏差(1.302)与累计残差(434.694),说明相比于传统二维、三维线形几何指标,采用驾驶视角下提取的线形特征指标对交通事故频次具有更好的预测准确性、更有利于解释线形与事故之间的关系。其中,表征轮廓对称性的偏度指标以及表征轮廓尖锐性的峰度指标,均表现出与事故频率的显著正相关影响(P<0.01)。[结论]本研究建立的驾驶视角下公路线形量化描述方法及事故预测模型可为公路线形优化设计、事故预防提供可靠的参考。

    Abstract:

    [Purposes]The changes in road alignment observed by drivers are closely related to driving safety. Therefore,this paper aims to find reliable description indexes of alignment perspective characteristics to study the correlation between the changes of road alignment in drivers' vision and driving safety, and to quantify the impact of alignment perspective characteristics changes on driving safety by establishing road accident frequency prediction models.[Methods] This study utilized shape description tools to process driving images and obtained the shape center distance kurtosis and skewness of alignment perspective profile as describing indexes of alignment perspective profile, achieving parameterized expression of alignment shape changes from driving perspective; A Possion regression model was used to establish a highway accident frequency prediction model based on the alignment perspective profile index, which intuitively revealed the correlation mechanism between the changes in alignment perspective profile caused by road turning and accidents.[Findings] Empirical analysis was conducted on the 160 kilometer section of the Guangdong Sanshui to Huaiji section of the Second Guangzhou Expressway (G55). Results show that the mean absolute deviation (1.293) and cumulative residual (432.968) of the accident prediction model based on the center distance indexes are lower than those based on the traditional two-dimensional and three-dimensional alignment geometric indexes’ mean absolute deviation (1.302) and cumulative residual (434.694), indicating that compared with the traditional two-dimensional and three-dimensional alignment geometric index, the alignment characteristic index extracted from the driving perspective has better prediction accuracy for the frequency of traffic accidents and is more conducive to explaining the relationship between the alignment and the accident. The skewness index, which represents the symmetry of the profile, and the kurtosis index, which represents the sharpness of the profile, show a significant positive correlation with the accident frequency (p<0.01).[Conclusions] The method established in this study for quantitatively describing highway alignment from a driving perspective and the accident prediction model can provide a reliable reference for highway alignment optimization and accident prevention.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-05-22
  • 最后修改日期:2025-06-26
  • 录用日期:2025-06-29
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