基于多维出行特征融合的出行目的推断方法
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1.华中科技大学 土木于水利工程学院;2.长沙理工大学 航空工程学院

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A Trip Purpose Inference Method Based on Multi-Dimensional Travel Feature Fusion
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    摘要:

    为提升网约车出行行为的感知能力与目的识别精度,本文基于宜春市出行调查数据,构建了一套由“POI类型推断—多维特征构建—XGBoost多分类模型”组成的出行目的推断方法。首先,在传统重力模型基础上引入POI规模权重,综合考虑POI密度、规模及可达性,提高了出发地和到达地语义识别的稳定性;随后,从时间节律、空间距离与地理语义三个维度构建多维行为特征,刻画居民出行的时空规律;最后采用XGBoost模型并结合贝叶斯优化实现超参数寻优。实验结果表明,改进的POI推断模型在七类功能区中均取得较高精度(最高达99.4%),有效提升了语义输入质量;基于多维特征的XGBoost模型总体预测准确率达88.99%,较仅依赖到达地POI的传统方法(76.54%)显著提升。特征重要性分析显示,到达地POI类型与出发/到达时间是模型最具贡献的变量,与典型居民日常活动规律高度一致。本文提出的方法具有可解释性强、泛化能力好等优势,可为网约车平台的调度优化、城市交通需求分析及居民出行行为建模提供有效技术支持。

    Abstract:

    To enhance the capability of sensing ride-hailing travel behavior and improve the accuracy of trip purpose inference, this study proposes an integrated framework consisting of POI type inference, multi-dimensional feature construction, and an XGBoost multi-class classification model based on the travel survey data from Yichun City. First, a POI size-weighted gravity model is developed by incorporating POI density, scale, and accessibility factors to improve the semantic identification of origins and destinations. Second, multi-dimensional behavioral features are constructed from temporal rhythms, spatial distance, and geographic semantics to characterize residents’ spatiotemporal travel patterns. Finally, the XGBoost model, optimized via Bayesian hyperparameter tuning, is applied for trip purpose classification. Experimental results show that the improved POI inference model achieves high accuracy across seven POI categories (up to 99.4%), effectively enhancing the quality of semantic inputs. The XGBoost model based on multi-dimensional features achieves an overall accuracy of 88.99%, significantly outperforming traditional POI-only methods (76.54%). Feature importance analysis indicates that destination POI type and departure/arrival time contribute most to model performance, which aligns with typical daily activity patterns. The proposed approach demonstrates strong interpretability and generalization ability and offers valuable technical support for ride-hailing dispatch optimization, urban travel demand analysis, and travel behavior modeling.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-15
  • 最后修改日期:2026-02-04
  • 录用日期:2026-02-04
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