基于改进MMoE模型的钢桁架梁桥小概率失效可靠性分析
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深圳市路桥建设集团有限公司 广东 深圳 518024

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Reliability Analysis for Small-Probability Failure of Steel Truss Girders with an Improved MMoE Model
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    摘要:

    【目的】针对钢桁架梁桥小概率失效结构非线性特征显著、隐式功能函数难以求解的问题,提出了一种基于改进多门控混合专家(MMoE)代理模型的小概率失效可靠性分析方法。【方法】首先通过优化多任务特征融合机制构建改进MMoE代理模型,然后以钢桁架梁桥材料参数为输入、结构响应为输出开展模型训练与验证,建立考虑钢桁架拉索和主梁挠度变形双失效模式的结构功能函数。最后结合蒙特卡洛法(MCS)和改进MMoE代理模型对某钢桁架梁桥进行了可靠度分析计算。【结果】结果表明:对比BP神经网络、原始MMoE模型,改进MMoE模型在样本容量大于300时趋于收敛,验证集决定系数R2达0.9872,拟合精度与稳定性显著优于对比模型;局部响应面的随机测试点误差服从以0为中心的正态分布,验证了模型对结构非线性响应的精准捕捉能力。【结论】钢桁架拉索及主梁构件可靠度指标均满足工程安全要求,靠近跨中区域的斜拉索与中跨主梁截面可靠度相对较低,而靠近桥墩的拉索与边跨主梁可靠度相对较高,在实际工程安全评估与维护决策时应重点考虑可靠度较低的结构构件。

    Abstract:

    [Purposes] To address the challenges of significant nonlinear characteristics in steel truss girder bridges under small-probability failure and the difficulty in solving implicit performance functions, a reliability analysis method for small-probability failure based on an improved Multi-gate Mixture-of-Experts (MMoE) surrogate model is proposed. [Methods] First, an improved MMoE surrogate model is constructed by optimizing the multi-task feature fusion mechanism. Then, using material parameters of the steel truss girder bridge as inputs and structural responses as outputs, the model is trained and validated, establishing structural performance functions that consider dual failure modes of cable stress and girder deflection. Finally, reliability analysis of a steel truss girder bridge is conducted by integrating the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) method with the improved MMoE surrogate model. [Findings] The results show that compared to BP neural networks and the original MMoE model, the improved MMoE model converges when the sample size exceeds 300, achieving a coefficient of determination R2 of 0.9872 on the validation set, with significantly superior prediction accuracy and stability. The errors of random test points on the local response surface follow a normal distribution centered at zero, confirming the model"s capability to accurately capture nonlinear structural responses. [Conclusions] The reliability indices of both cables and main girder components meet engineering safety requirements. Cables near the mid-span and main girder sections in the central span exhibit relatively lower reliability, whereas cables near the piers and main girders in side spans show higher reliability. Components with lower reliability should be prioritized in practical engineering safety assessments and maintenance decisions.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-03-05
  • 最后修改日期:2026-05-25
  • 录用日期:2026-05-25
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