复合通道时序建设下的交通运行与城市空间演化效应
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1.广州地铁设计研究院股份有限公司;2.华南理工大学 土木与交通学院

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U

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广州地铁设计研究院股份有限公司科研项目(KY-2024-006)


Effects of construction sequencing in multimodal corridors on traffic operations and urban spatial evolution
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    摘要:

    【目的】评估复合通道(道路与轨道同走廊紧贴重叠)及其建设时序对交通运行与城市空间演化的综合效应及差异机制。【方法】以广州市三条典型复合通道为例,融合多源时序数据。交通层面采用反事实法推演无复合通道基线并与实测对比,结合平行干道分流与公交—地铁换乘便捷性刻画走廊运行变化;空间层面以相对房价指数、产生—吸引分析及兴趣点结构变化评估功能集聚与职住特征演变。【结果】建设时序对道路交通量与通行效率影响显著:同步模式交通量上升但高峰效率提升;先轨后路抑制道路需求增长;先路后轨在轨道开通后约束道路流量继续攀升并趋稳。建成后复合通道普遍分担平行干道压力、提升路网稳定性,并提高换乘便捷性。空间响应显示轨道可达性是房价相对溢价的关键基础,道路改善难以替代;商业服务与企业办公等兴趣点沿通道集聚增强;产生-吸引分析法结果表明同步建设更利于职住相对均衡,非同步建设时序更易固化区域居住功能。【结论】复合通道的交通与区域空间效应受建设时序显著调节,需因地制宜确定时序并同步优化接驳与沿线功能配置。

    Abstract:

    [Purposes] To evaluate the overall effects and heterogeneous mechanisms through which multimodal corridors (where roads and rail transit closely overlap within the same corridor) and their construction sequencing influence traffic operations and urban spatial evolution. [Methods] Three typical multimodal corridors in Guangzhou were selected, and multi-source time-series data were integrated. On the traffic side, a counterfactual approach was used to infer the no-corridor baseline and compare it with observed outcomes, together with analyses of diversion effects on parallel arterials and bus–metro transfer convenience to characterize operational changes along the corridors. On the spatial side, a relative housing price index, production–attraction analysis (P-A), and changes in the points of interest (POI) were employed to assess functional agglomeration and jobs–housing characteristics. [Findings] Construction sequencing has significant impacts on road traffic volume and travel efficiency. Under synchronous construction, traffic volume increases while peak-period efficiency improves. The rail-first/road-later sequence suppresses the growth of road demand, whereas the road-first/rail-later sequence constrains further increases in road traffic after the rail line opens, leading to stabilization. After completion, multimodal corridors generally relieve pressure on parallel arterials, enhance network stability, and improve transfer convenience. Spatially, rail accessibility is the key foundation for relative housing price premiums and cannot be substituted by road improvements alone; commercial services and office-related POIs show strengthened agglomeration along the corridors. P-A results indicate that synchronous construction is more conducive to a relatively balanced jobs–housing pattern, while asynchronous construction more often solidifies a residential orientation or results in one-sided functional concentration. [Conclusions] The traffic and regional spatial effects of multimodal corridors are significantly moderated by construction sequencing. Sequencing should therefore be tailored to local conditions, with coordinated improvements in feeder connections and corridor-side functional planning.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-03-21
  • 最后修改日期:2026-04-16
  • 录用日期:2026-04-16
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